Pick a market and Chart Intel names the formation currently on its chart, then shows what actually happened after that same formation in the past — data analysis of price action, not advice.
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SHIBUSDT · 4h
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Show the full record for all eighteen formations
Historical record
What actually happened after every completed formation the detectors found, measured 5, 10, 20 and 60 bars later.
| Formation | Examples | Textbook direction | Median change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 bars | 10 bars | 20 bars | 60 bars | 5 bars | 10 bars | 20 bars | 60 bars | ||
| Symmetrical triangle | 211 | no directional claim | no directional claim | no directional claim | no directional claim | +0.19% | +0.63% | +3.88% | +7.66% |
| Descending triangle | 74 | 49.3% | 50.7% | 50.7% | 57.5% | -0.31% | -1.24% | +0.17% | -0.28% |
| Falling wedge | 66 | 57.6% | 53.0% | 47.0% | 45.5% | +0.85% | +1.58% | +1.72% | -1.87% |
| Double top | 55 | 43.6% | 29.1% | 40.0% | 38.2% | +0.02% | +3.19% | +1.49% | +2.99% |
| Double bottom | 50 | 61.2% | 63.3% | 56.3% | 57.5% | +1.75% | +3.57% | +8.19% | +19.47% |
| Ascending triangle | 43 | 44.2% | 53.5% | 53.5% | 48.8% | +0.94% | +0.49% | +0.35% | -0.52% |
| Bull pennant | 42 | 50.0% | 40.5% | 59.5% | 66.7% | +3.10% | +2.31% | +4.42% | +7.65% |
| Rising wedge | 34 | 61.8% | 64.7% | 61.8% | 52.9% | -2.17% | -2.79% | -1.32% | -1.45% |
| Bear pennant | 32 | 53.1% | 56.3% | 53.1% | 51.6% | +1.46% | +1.63% | +4.82% | +7.80% |
| Head and shoulders | 15 | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | +0.13% | -0.33% | +1.84% | -0.87% |
| Inverse head and shoulders | 15 | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | +4.46% | +1.48% | +0.91% | +9.55% |
| Bull flag | 8 | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | +9.32% | +7.68% | +9.21% | +18.13% |
| Bear flag | 6 | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | -0.39% | -0.59% | -1.93% | -5.96% |
| Cup with handle | 5 | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | +1.34% | +5.19% | +7.83% | +13.95% |
| Rounding bottom | 3 | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | too few examples | +16.07% | +13.16% | +10.65% | +17.71% |
| Rectangle | 2 | no directional claim | no directional claim | no directional claim | no directional claim | -5.79% | -4.64% | -3.52% | -8.31% |
| Triple top | 0 | never occurred | never occurred | never occurred | never occurred | — | — | — | — |
| Triple bottom | 0 | never occurred | never occurred | never occurred | never occurred | — | — | — | — |
10 instruments, 1d / 4h, 2017-08-17 to 2026-07-25 — 182,341 bars and 661 completed formations.
- These figures describe past occurrences of the same shape. They are not a projection of this chart.
- 661 formations is not a large sample, and the instruments are correlated USDT pairs, so the effective sample is smaller still.
- Below 30 examples no rate is printed at all.
- Changes are close-to-close and exclude fees, funding and slippage.
- Medians and quartiles pooled across instruments are sample-weighted approximations, not exact pooled quantiles.
- A formation is timed from the bar its break became observable, and every change is measured strictly after that bar.
- Pooled across every instrument and both backtest timeframes.